표 6 오피스의 신규공급량과 임대료 간 관계 : CBD

변수 종속변수(Y) : 신규공급량 종속변수(Y) : Diff.임대료
독립변수(X) : Diff.임대료 독립변수(X) : 신규공급량
Mode1_1 Model1_2 Model1_3 Model1_4 Model1_5 Model2_1 Model2_2 Model2_3 Model2_4 Model2_5
ARDL(1,0) ARDL(1,1) ARDL(1,2) ARDL(2,1) ARDL(2,2) ARDL(1,0) ARDL(1,1) ARDL(1,2) ARDL(2,1) ARDL(2,2)
Yt-1 –0.091 –0.117 –0.135 –0.100 –0.115 0.015 0.005 0.014 0.009 0.019
(0.178) (0.183) (0.190) (0.183) (0.191) (0.183) (0.185) (0.188) (0.191) (0.194)
Yt-2 0.207 0.190 –0.128 –0.119
(0.183) (0.191) (0.190) (0.193)
Xt 9.913 10.849 10.005 13.171 12.085 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
(21.378) (21.801) (22.546) (21.793) (22.644) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
Xt-1 12.329 13.424 9.800 10.912 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001
(21.738) (22.317) (21.749) (22.461) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
Xt-2 –1.012 –2.493 –0.001 –0.001
(22.541) (22.592) (0.002) (0.002)
상수 59.713*** 60.342*** 63.586*** 47.744** 51.688** 0.154 0.095 0.141 0.125 0.170
(17.344) (18.372) (19.665) (21.405) (23.002) (0.154) (0.182) (0.198) (0.196) (0.214)
N 34 33 32 33 32 33 33 33 32 32
adj_R2 –0.050 –0.071 –0.108 –0.061 –0.108 –0.059 –0.081 –0.105 –0.109 –0.138
AIC 398.518 388.904 379.614 389.428 380.412 72.535 74.093 75.652 74.520 76.131
SIC 403.098 394.890 386.942 396.910 389.207 77.024 80.079 83.134 81.848 84.925
P>chi2 0.8259 0.9154 0.8285 0.9262 0.9927 0.7731 0.4854 0.3279 0.6339 0.2437
주 : 1) ( ) 안은 표준오차(se)를 나타냄.
2) *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
3) P>chi2는 시계열 상관(serial correlation)검증테스트인 Breusch-Godfrey LM test의 결과임.