표 6 오피스의 신규공급량과 임대료 간 관계 : CBD
변수 | 종속변수(Y) : 신규공급량 | 종속변수(Y) : Diff.임대료 |
독립변수(X) : Diff.임대료 | 독립변수(X) : 신규공급량 |
Mode1_1 | Model1_2 | Model1_3 | Model1_4 | Model1_5 | Model2_1 | Model2_2 | Model2_3 | Model2_4 | Model2_5 |
ARDL(1,0) | ARDL(1,1) | ARDL(1,2) | ARDL(2,1) | ARDL(2,2) | ARDL(1,0) | ARDL(1,1) | ARDL(1,2) | ARDL(2,1) | ARDL(2,2) |
Yt-1 | –0.091 | –0.117 | –0.135 | –0.100 | –0.115 | 0.015 | 0.005 | 0.014 | 0.009 | 0.019 |
(0.178) | (0.183) | (0.190) | (0.183) | (0.191) | (0.183) | (0.185) | (0.188) | (0.191) | (0.194) |
Yt-2 | | | | 0.207 | 0.190 | | | | –0.128 | –0.119 |
| | | (0.183) | (0.191) | | | | (0.190) | (0.193) |
Xt | 9.913 | 10.849 | 10.005 | 13.171 | 12.085 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
(21.378) | (21.801) | (22.546) | (21.793) | (22.644) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) |
Xt-1 | | 12.329 | 13.424 | 9.800 | 10.912 | | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| (21.738) | (22.317) | (21.749) | (22.461) | | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) |
Xt-2 | | | –1.012 | | –2.493 | | | –0.001 | | –0.001 |
| | (22.541) | | (22.592) | | | (0.002) | | (0.002) |
상수 | 59.713*** | 60.342*** | 63.586*** | 47.744** | 51.688** | 0.154 | 0.095 | 0.141 | 0.125 | 0.170 |
(17.344) | (18.372) | (19.665) | (21.405) | (23.002) | (0.154) | (0.182) | (0.198) | (0.196) | (0.214) |
N | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 |
adj_R2 | –0.050 | –0.071 | –0.108 | –0.061 | –0.108 | –0.059 | –0.081 | –0.105 | –0.109 | –0.138 |
AIC | 398.518 | 388.904 | 379.614 | 389.428 | 380.412 | 72.535 | 74.093 | 75.652 | 74.520 | 76.131 |
SIC | 403.098 | 394.890 | 386.942 | 396.910 | 389.207 | 77.024 | 80.079 | 83.134 | 81.848 | 84.925 |
P>chi2 | 0.8259 | 0.9154 | 0.8285 | 0.9262 | 0.9927 | 0.7731 | 0.4854 | 0.3279 | 0.6339 | 0.2437 |
주 : 1) ( ) 안은 표준오차(se)를 나타냄.
2) *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
3) P>chi2는 시계열 상관(serial correlation)검증테스트인 Breusch-Godfrey LM test의 결과임.